Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66baacd545622c18d6eba37379027e6c6975d0330ef7721816a3d6e277508e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 1,195$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes | 23c | 866.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…d1b0backed No | 79c | 537.97$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 535.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…6a21backed Yes | 22c | 446.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…976abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a0cabacked No | 79c | 411.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 77c | 402.19$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…c120backed No | 79c | 378.48$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 350$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 79c | 343.67$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…c045backed Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…3b1cbacked Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 278.57$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…9bfebacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 250.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 22c | 224.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 21c | 193.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 22c | 190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 21c | 187.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…9f7abacked Yes | 23c | 160.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 77c | 134.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked No | 79c | 134.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked No | 78c | 127.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…b8b7backed Yes | 22c | 89.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…68f5backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 44.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 33.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 78c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-01?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.