Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625462d4bb2e38b4bc52591a864be67419e0e9ffb3f9183e95b997fa1223f758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 5,052$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.33 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 80c | 5,000$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 4,948$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.21 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 79c | 2,912$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.53 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 2,859$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.42 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed No | 80c | 1,850$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 5c | 1,839$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 21c | 1,351$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,343$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 78c | 645.74$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes | 21c | 519.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 500.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 21c | 491$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 79c | 478.17$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ce…5cf3backed Yes | 21c | 462.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 22c | 456.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…8ca2backed Yes | 12c | 404.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 354.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 21c | 259.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 21c | 256.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 79c | 236.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…e1f4backed Yes | 21c | 223.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 6c | 221.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed No | 79c | 205.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 188.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 22c | 169.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…fa35backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 21c | 145.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 144.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 139$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 20c | 124.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 116.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 20c | 97.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdf…84b8backed No | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…b8a9backed Yes | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…008bbacked Yes | 21c | 74.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 80c | 57.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 49.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…9498backed Yes | 21c | 48.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…1b04backed No | 80c | 34.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…bbefbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…422bbacked No | 80c | 17.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…7c96backed No | 80c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…5106backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-01?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.