TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed61…4c0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$14.75
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+43.6%+$9.1
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+28.8%+$5.77
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$61
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.93
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.25
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Chargers vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.75
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$27
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.75
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+155.2%+$23.28
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.4
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42%+$21.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$23.79
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$69.9
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$5.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+55.2%+$8.89
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+38.9%+$29.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.