TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Ravens (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Ravens, Steelers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$966,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$966,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $966,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Ravens53c509,639$269,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269,945.671942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Steelers47c220,000$103,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,60016955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Steelers47c190,000$89,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,70030043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Steelers49c116,022$56,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,231.6411445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Steelers48c83,316$40,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,970.2827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Ravens51c48,508$24,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,739.1217041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Steelers48c45,365$21,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,557.4613560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Steelers49c43,291$21,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,142.6375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Ravens52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,80011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens51c30,323$15,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,528.716051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Steelers48c22,592$10,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,747.6422450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Ravens52c19,000$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8805756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ravens51c15,554$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.224056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers48c14,633$7,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,560.5856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ravens51c13,753$7,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,013.9486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Ravens51c11,115$5,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,668.774634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers48c11,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,72083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens51c11,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10020755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Ravens52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Ravens51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Steelers50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Steelers47c7,470$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.1824652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Ravens51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Steelers47c5,435$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.231,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Steelers48c4,165$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.2310156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Ravens52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Ravens52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0806759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Ravens50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60020661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Steelers49c3,147$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.138650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Ravens51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9825744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Ravens53c2,800$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Steelers48c2,073$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.0513959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Steelers48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4915446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Ravens51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Steelers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Ravens51c1,955$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9972821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ravens52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers49c1,863$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.0773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Ravens51c1,773$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.8665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9367…7a81backed Ravens53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Ravens52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Steelers48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Steelers47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.2339754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Steelers48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9714035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Ravens52c1,028$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.464934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ravens51c1,027$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ravens53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Steelers49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9914342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Steelers49c947.5$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.3153253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Steelers49c857.14$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.142259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Ravens51c845.34$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2119459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Ravens51c735.29$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Steelers48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3259657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Steelers48c619$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7120555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Ravens52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31211946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ravens51c585.42$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Steelers49c530$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7510356.3%58 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Steelers48c518$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3810752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Steelers49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.23050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Ravens52c500$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.526857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Steelers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557731.2%24 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Steelers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2609248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Steelers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Steelers48c463$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8916957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Steelers48c463$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8917656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Ravens53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.511759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Steelers49c448.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9815944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers47c424$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.921,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Steelers48c413$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9912356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Steelers48c413$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9910461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Steelers48c413$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9915556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Steelers48c413$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9916360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Steelers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Steelers49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ravens52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20826648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Ravens51c393$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4312151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Steelers48c368$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5414060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Steelers49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1223447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Ravens52c297.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8913448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f20…87c9backed Steelers49c250$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa397…ba36backed Ravens51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Steelers48c229$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6512057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Steelers48c229$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6511758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Steelers48c229$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6511859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Steelers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Steelers49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.555853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Steelers49c204.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6515855.7%88 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Steelers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Steelers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2472…f7e0backed Steelers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.713357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.79659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.715453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.712459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.710964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.710464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.712458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.710565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Steelers48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.79162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.