TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Steelers vs. Ravens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Steelers, Ravens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,899,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,212,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,899,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 608 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Ravens71c367,579$260,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260,981.2717041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Ravens71c337,732$239,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239,789.897951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Steelers29c297,202$86,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,013.519553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Steelers30c141,167$42,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,816.675648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ravens71c86,568$61,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,163.620755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Ravens70c69,500$48,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,649.8916545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ravens27c59,292$15,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,773.7875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Steelers29c50,159$14,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,609.8347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Ravens70c40,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,00011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Steelers72c39,478$28,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,017.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Steelers60c32,126$19,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,867.5411643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Ravens71c30,000$21,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,3005453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6a…faf4backed Steelers73c29,887$21,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,057.242240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Steelers29c20,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,199.9914342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Steelers68c18,820$12,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,056.8631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Steelers63c18,820$11,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,053.843345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Steelers68c17,281$11,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.032948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Steelers29c17,241$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,241.3818650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Steelers64c16,874$10,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,050.455250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Ravens71c15,300$10,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,809.785756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Ravens35c15,114$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,26611252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ravens32c14,883$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.1820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Steelers76c14,354$10,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.0768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ravens70c13,309$9,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,359.5331854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Steelers28c11,996$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,586.9616226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens19c11,701$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.4373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Steelers72c11,228$8,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Steelers29c10,600$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5261118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed Ravens52c10,500$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,459.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0b1…faebbacked Ravens19c10,357$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.767737.7%29 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Steelers29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,10016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ravens71c9,999$7,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.2924056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ravens37c9,901$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.2116955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Ravens36c9,268$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.188532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Steelers30c8,667$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,066.665756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers29c8,598$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,104.5844652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Steelers29c7,975$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.338128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ravens29c7,440$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.8514147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d7b…e6babacked Steelers29c6,998$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,953.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ravens71c6,992$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96412744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Steelers59c6,952$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.5823850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Ravens41c6,668$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7039536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Steelers78c6,563$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.147255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97af…9bc6backed Ravens71c6,506$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b68…1683backed Steelers29c6,500$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+100.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Steelers29c6,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,26015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0d…8bb7backed Steelers72c6,000$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Ravens71c5,547$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.97248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers51c5,500$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ravens70c5,420$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.31,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Steelers29c5,357$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Steelers68c5,337$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.928540%34 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Steelers73c4,800$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.045939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Steelers29c4,500$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,19526547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea5b…d88dbacked Steelers77c4,276$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Steelers53c4,143$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.1916254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ravens49c4,107$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.3720757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Ravens35c4,082$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.75650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Ravens54c4,076$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2005650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Ravens33c4,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.995230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Ravens53c3,809$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.5212039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ravens41c3,593$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.2831056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Ravens35c3,577$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2497259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c84…2929backed Ravens71c3,501$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.71560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523a…6beabacked Ravens72c3,499$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Ravens31c3,447$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.5610142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Ravens60c3,335$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Ravens41c3,127$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.911323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc8…f7b4backed Ravens71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Ravens33c3,000$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.2513435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3909…56d7backed Steelers29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+152.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Ravens70c2,959$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.5211544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Ravens59c2,922$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.8814258.5%83 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Steelers76c2,914$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Ravens28c2,882$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ravens70c2,755$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.421,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Steelers72c2,561$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.13043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ravens35c2,507$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.8750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Steelers29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77514837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Ravens60c2,464$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.735234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Ravens71c2,394$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Ravens71c2,333$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.436453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Steelers44c2,280$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.117626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Ravens1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ravens54c2,129$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.7827348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Ravens71c2,064$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.444546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Ravens5c2,005$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711122.5%25 W · 86 L+13.9wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+428.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Steelers29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Steelers29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4202528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Steelers72c1,935$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.726240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Steelers29c1,917$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.0731450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Ravens46c1,875$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Steelers54c1,863$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Ravens71c1,781$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.715034%17 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Steelers37c1,700$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.8816344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Steelers69c1,700$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.9911755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Steelers73c1,644$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.686850%34 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a6…9c48backed Steelers61c1,640$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.413834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Ravens60c1,629$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.559952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Steelers30c1,586$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9821227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.