TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7bf…b567

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST12039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57.97
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$152.5
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+242.6%+$48.53
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$54.45
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$238.55
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$157.39
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$841.8
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$260
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100.4%+$411.97
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$257.69
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$580.09
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.4%+$110.77
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$81.63
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$339.8
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.4%+$103.41
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.8%+$128.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+43.2%+$150.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+525%+$210
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs AaB esport (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3)backed Prison Breakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$587
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+36%+$108.14
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$781.43
Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.9%+$278.85
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$224.99
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81%+$242.95
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+173.8%+$2,494.7
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.2%+$565.74
O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$703.7
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,363Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.2%+$1,419.55
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,393.31
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,615.35
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn Statebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$220
TCU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$309.61
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,012.39
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$202.83
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$65.76
Lightning vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+236.4%+$189.15
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$433.07
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$289.52
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$316.89
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300.79
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+111%+$757.88
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$168.72
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.25
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.24
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$501.13
Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+381%+$95.24
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+226.3%+$2,150
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$600
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$91
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$147.81
Will Aleksandre Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$150
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$37.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Providence Friars vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$118.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.