NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582e9f209ec19415cfb36de23afed4ef696f19eaed527f6819cbce4cb3c244b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Golden Knights, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights | 55c | 44,861$24,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,673.4 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 45c | 38,558$17,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,223.73 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 61c | 35,053$21,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,625.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 43c | 30,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Golden Knights | 54c | 22,426$12,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,110.31 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wild | 69c | 14,515$10,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.5 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Golden Knights | 31c | 11,500$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.39 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wild | 46c | 10,715$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.96 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Golden Knights | 54c | 9,940$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.43 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 38c | 9,060$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.77 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 46c | 8,995$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.27 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc8…6493backed Golden Knights | 53c | 6,830$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…df84backed Wild | 47c | 6,825$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…1e3bbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 6,681$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…8e74backed Wild | 47c | 6,673$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…743dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 5,925$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 45c | 5,033$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Wild | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 30c | 3,937$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.78 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wild | 47c | 3,894$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.64 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 46c | 3,799$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.78 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…baf9backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,963$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 66c | 2,693$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.47 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 45c | 2,669$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.81 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 28c | 2,396$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.7 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 46c | 2,356$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.02 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.82 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9289…80a5backed Wild | 47c | 2,186$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…1d8abacked Wild | 47c | 2,013$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Wild | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Wild | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.21 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…3deebacked Wild | 47c | 1,725$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Wild | 46c | 1,543$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.48 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild | 46c | 1,472$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.73 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,317$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,224$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,086$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,085$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Wild | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wild | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Wild | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Golden Knights | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Wild | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 54c | 966$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 54c | 908$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.21 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 30c | 903.81$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild | 47c | 893$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.29 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Golden Knights | 31c | 809.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 733.33$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Wild | 47c | 732.66$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wild | 60c | 707$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.88 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Golden Knights | 9c | 666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 68c | 649.58$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf14b…5facbacked Wild | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…06febacked Wild | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…2e33backed Wild | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e5a0backed Golden Knights | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f31…0e75backed Golden Knights | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…8aa6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…023bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…6215backed Wild | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wild | 45c | 598.52$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Wild | 45c | 598.52$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…e90fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 590$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d50…1f01backed Wild | 45c | 590$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…3eaabacked Wild | 45c | 590$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…5586backed Golden Knights | 55c | 590$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1763…34a5backed Golden Knights | 55c | 590$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…e0febacked Wild | 45c | 590$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…24edbacked Wild | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…004cbacked Wild | 45c | 580$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…3c66backed Wild | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…442bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd484…18b0backed Golden Knights | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…f70bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 580$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…ba9dbacked Wild | 45c | 580$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…b1b8backed Wild | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…4be3backed Wild | 45c | 580$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…1b46backed Golden Knights | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…379bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 580$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…da05backed Golden Knights | 55c | 580$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…dd7dbacked Wild | 45c | 570$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…4990backed Golden Knights | 55c | 570$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…6757backed Wild | 45c | 570$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d2…c862backed Golden Knights | 55c | 570$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…5c55backed Wild | 45c | 570$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…c37abacked Wild | 45c | 570$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…dacebacked Wild | 42c | 570$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…d096backed Golden Knights | 55c | 570$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Wildthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.