NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ff67b767b619e38b8e51597c181637eb13ab0e7f1ac5f1a7d33c3510c85cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Red Wings, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Ducks | 53c | 85,463$45,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,462.43 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 45c | 72,078$32,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,677.08 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Red Wings | 48c | 28,129$13,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,376.28 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Red Wings | 47c | 27,740$12,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,970.37 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.93 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Ducks | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 54c | 11,476$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.28 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 40c | 10,956$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.74 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Ducks | 57c | 10,350$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.69 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Ducks | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.97 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…4058backed Red Wings | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Ducks | 70c | 9,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.63 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 52c | 8,447$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.21 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Red Wings | 47c | 7,252$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.11 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Ducks | 56c | 7,108$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Ducks | 54c | 6,552$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.85 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 54c | 6,420$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 54c | 5,750$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ducks | 53c | 5,478$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.45 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Red Wings | 25c | 5,424$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 60c | 5,051$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.4 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Wings | 47c | 4,500$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Ducks | 53c | 4,404$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.77 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Ducks | 54c | 4,358$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.68 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Ducks | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ducks | 53c | 3,653$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.01 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 53c | 3,631$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.37 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Red Wings | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Red Wings | 45c | 3,447$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.03 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Ducks | 54c | 3,392$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 53c | 3,362$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.31 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 66c | 3,008$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.44 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Red Wings | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Red Wings | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…e301backed Ducks | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 54c | 2,575$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.69 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Ducks | 53c | 2,560$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.29 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Ducks | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Ducks | 54c | 2,387$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.34 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Ducks | 54c | 2,163$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.96 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Red Wings | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Red Wings | 11c | 2,114$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…881ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 2,098$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,073$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.96 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…631fbacked Red Wings | 34c | 2,066$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Red Wings | 21c | 2,016$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Red Wings | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…af2cbacked Ducks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,000$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.33 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…365cbacked Red Wings | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…320cbacked Red Wings | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.28 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings | 46c | 1,802$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.4 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,771$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.22 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ducks | 54c | 1,682$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.54 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,609$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 70c | 1,597$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Ducks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked Ducks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked Red Wings | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Ducks | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.97 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Red Wings | 12c | 1,451$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Ducks | 53c | 1,354$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.38 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.28 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Ducks | 54c | 1,213$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Ducks | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Ducks | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…cd2fbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,028$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…3770backed Ducks | 52c | 1,027$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…b7efbacked Ducks | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…4c0cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,017$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…e87dbacked Ducks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Red Wings | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Red Wings | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Ducks | 51c | 999.79$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Red Wings | 46c | 976$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks | 51c | 887$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.63 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ducks | 54c | 870$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Red Wings | 27c | 855.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings | 26c | 837.12$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…52c2backed Red Wings | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47b…119dbacked Red Wings | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 36c | 722.82$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 45c | 713.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Ducksthis page
- Red Wings vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.