TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bcb…5731

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 62 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3171%22 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.9
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.62
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$105.26
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$486
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.46
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$284.12
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$315
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$224
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$564
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$564
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$590
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+115.1%+$535.03
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,120
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,079.99
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$629
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$867
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$770
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+150%+$959.99
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$901
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$935
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.44
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$143.98
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$79.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.99
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$179.99
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$27.31
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$87
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$129.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$123
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.99
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$106
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+194.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$370
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$415
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$141
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$328
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$61.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.