TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under68c24,500$16,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,869.792951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c23,309$7,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,480.831,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under68c11,000$7,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.986643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under70c5,752$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.581586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over31c4,483$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c2,965$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.926645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over32c1,438$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under76c1,088$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c880.37$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0742438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under69c808.95$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.221656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeaa…e7efbacked Under80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over33c715.74$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over8c656.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.434330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under69c651.46$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.951560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under68c567.65$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over21c547.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6616036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over31c533.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under68c514.69$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.78146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over32c509.49$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.137133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c508.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over19c497.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.59128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Under75c446.62$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.657042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under67c328.5$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7110164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over33c316.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.938643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…8d8dbacked Under69c314.49$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under79c309.85$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.325123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c294.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over18c248.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over33c237.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.626741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under69c204.22$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3113349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under67c202.04$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6729746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over30c194.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5350247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over32c179.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.587639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over9c172$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under63c167$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.054555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under68c160.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.632040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over32c159.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3911750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed Over16c144.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over20c133.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.152378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+127.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404233.3%14 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under78c124.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over37c111.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under69c108.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.113253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over32c101$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1217251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328341%34 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over33c97.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9120643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under67c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3612344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked Under74c81.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22080%16 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+31.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under77c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2811952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over26c58.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154314%6 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over37c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over31c57.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7360748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over33c54.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.440350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Over27c38.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over31c36.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.234047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under69c34.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.79850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over33c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610947.7%52 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb616…cfe3backed Over35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under66c30.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.417960.8%48 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.995957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c4…1378backed Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdf…509dbacked Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00f…782bbacked Under69c28.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.983100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Under68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.964643.5%20 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under69c23.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under68c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7211650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed Under68c14.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.742254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.