TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c9,857$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.042,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under37c5,859$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.833641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over63c5,212$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.376758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over74c4,055$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.34365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over73c3,031$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under27c2,662$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.6918160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.998146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c1,796$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.21,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c1,725$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6560041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under39c1,451$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.0734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over73c1,366$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.793948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over65c1,323$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.962688.5%23 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3b62…b97cbacked Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over73c1,111$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.97862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over54c1,060$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.543240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over70c1,000$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over74c898.72$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.673253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over44c881.6$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.68938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under26c870.37$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over61c843.68$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.816145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over62c810$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.84461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over73c675.34$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.34875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over46c614.94$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2216036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over75c600.09$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.097166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under47c592.39$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6915936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1397…c72abacked Over74c587.96$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over76c543.42$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.422382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.774445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under43c382.09$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.89653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c323.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over75c293.59$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8238953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over63c274.89$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under37c268.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over53c260.11$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.113050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over40c253.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.154548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over65c244.1$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.431984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c238.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4361148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c229.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8361437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over51c213.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.733444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.710256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c197.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.477943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over64c196.77$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.847068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under27c174$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9820644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over46c166.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.063946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.515657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c149.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020256.9%115 W · 87 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over68c146.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.452642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over65c144.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.712378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+127.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under26c141.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2340450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x337f…d28cbacked Over73c140.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997064.3%45 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4211…cc77backed Over63c136.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3230…782dbacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under26c129.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under28c129.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.586741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under28c129.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.588643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Over63c116.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.175543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.510164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over74c99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7420667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.592969%20 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.34555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over63c88.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over62c86.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1443537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Under56c82.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207767.5%52 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over73c79.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over66c75.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741994.7%18 W · 1 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over59c74.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.572450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.499058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.574663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Under27c67.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+119.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under26c55.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.617045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf916…6266backed Over73c55.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.