Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa49bf2320f5250c1dcc22f7bd2caf257b15252b6f5d47c98ab76528eecac7a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 53c | 421,885$223,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,465.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 100,145$47,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,067.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 94,033$44,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,195.73 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 47c | 36,861$17,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,324.58 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 32,540$15,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,556.3 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 32,522$15,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,285.34 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 22,135$10,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,368.46 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 47c | 16,269$7,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 47c | 16,161$7,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 12,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 9,330$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.42 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…aa8dbacked Under | 48c | 6,818$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 3,189$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Under | 47c | 2,916$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 2,453$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.71 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 54c | 2,399$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.61 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…9069backed Under | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…e723backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 1,574$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.7 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 53c | 1,550$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.97 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 52c | 980.65$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 74c | 720$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 32c | 712.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 691.83$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.54 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 638.57$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.68 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 52c | 620$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Under | 47c | 601.17$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 600$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 32c | 575$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.42 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 53c | 450.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 449.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 65c | 399.73$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 395.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Under | 67c | 383.55$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 375.74$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Under | 49c | 342.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 47c | 332.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 46c | 329.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 325.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 53c | 324.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 48c | 310.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 299.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 52c | 274$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 268.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 45c | 257.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 256.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 251$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 242.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Under | 48c | 235.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 234$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 222.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 53c | 219.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…5a7cbacked Over | 53c | 212.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 49c | 204.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 48c | 203.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 201.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Under | 74c | 199.72$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 48c | 195.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 59c | 178.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 53c | 167.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 158.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 151.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.