TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$496,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over53c421,885$223,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,465.66825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c100,145$47,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,067.992951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c94,033$44,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,195.7326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under47c36,861$17,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,324.585433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c32,540$15,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,556.31,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under47c32,522$15,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,285.343237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under47c22,135$10,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,368.468647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c16,269$7,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,646.472245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under47c16,161$7,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,595.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under48c12,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7001861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c9,330$4,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,421.4258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44ab…aa8dbacked Under48c6,818$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c3,189$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4993545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Under47c2,916$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1753056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1752860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c2,453$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.7138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c2,399$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.615646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Under47c2,130$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9a0…e723backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c1,574$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.729746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over53c1,550$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.975745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c980.65$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.651540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37614447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under74c720$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under32c712.85$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.66837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c691.83$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.541,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c638.57$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over52c620$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.64746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Under47c601.17$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28213349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c600$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28411649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over32c575$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.424330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c450.94$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9413349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c449.85$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1808650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under65c399.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.833641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c395.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.986633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Under67c383.55$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c375.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.59653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…8d8dbacked Under49c342.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over47c332.66$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.663450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under46c329.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over45c325.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over53c324.92$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.711258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under48c310.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.814746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14112748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14121354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c299.56$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over52c274$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.524259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c268.72$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over45c257.5$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.723745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c256.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5217251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under52c251$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5221938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.59445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c242.04$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7640350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Under48c235.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113358.6%3 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c234$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4615936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c222.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over53c219.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.998643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…5a7cbacked Over53c212.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under49c204.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under48c203.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.044542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under49c201.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9414645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under74c199.72$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.582860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under48c195.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over59c178.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5420639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over53c167.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8111135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c158.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6920643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under49c158$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4212344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c151.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf6…8145backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c142$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.