TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x958f…a83c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
425
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: UFC, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10837%40 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$66.79
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.14
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.08
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.46
France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.25
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.11
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.19
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Belgium to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.03
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$297.89
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$170.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$144.49
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$227.65
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.41
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.19
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$332
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+210.4%+$311.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$159.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$592
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+334.9%+$2,368.83
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90.23
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.33
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$267.8
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.93
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$839.72
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$111.36
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.65
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$173.82
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.32
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.82
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$271.51
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.36
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.01
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.66
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$391
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$248
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.04
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$496.64
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$167.5
Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47.1
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+566.7%+$85
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62.52
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$28
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.5%+$24.15
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.75
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+32.4%+$19.6
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+97.4%+$63.28
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$93.09
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$205.25
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$29.9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.7%+$27.65
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$835.53
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$196.19
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.98
Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$229.78
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$167.4
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37.2%+$187.1
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.6%+$370.97
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.5%+$384.42
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$460.45
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-53.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$124.89
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$362.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,748.5
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$298.55
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$794.07
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+150%+$18
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$203.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$463.23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+212.5%+$47.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+76%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$446.48
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,150%+$147.19
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$173.41
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$48.79
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+74.1%+$46.79
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$80
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$73.7
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+190.7%+$32.79
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$76.38
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+336.6%+$161.9
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$116.29
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.84
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$55.6
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$175.42
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.7
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.9
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$247.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+809.1%+$177.99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.79
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+254.7%+$50.93
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.3
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Dalby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+284.6%+$29.6
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$47.06
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+77.7%+$35.79
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+130.7%+$41.81
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+52.9%+$17.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Will Watford FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48.28
Will Manchester United vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+56.2%+$18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.2
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100.65
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$54
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.53
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+257.1%+$288
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$321.42
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$87.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.7%+$25.85
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.7%+$146.84
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$169.2
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$28.55
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$196.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$45
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.5%+$34.94
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$283.07
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.46
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.5%+$35.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.