College Football · resolved market
Boise State vs. Utah State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23d4f76b4769913b3b3474a8dd86e82383100d4b7d6b743951d687e78f2d45e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise Stateof Boise State, Utah State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Boise State | 47c | 86,035$40,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,672.21 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Utah State | 43c | 43,752$18,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,640.99 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Utah State | 46c | 27,433$12,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,619.15 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah State | 59c | 26,209$15,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,525.51 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boise State | 43c | 18,287$7,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.55 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boise State | 45c | 16,716$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.58 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Utah State | 58c | 12,371$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.42 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Utah State | 41c | 11,383$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Utah State | 47c | 11,290$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.53 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…82a9backed Boise State | 29c | 11,092$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Utah State | 73c | 11,000$8,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Boise State | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4a49backed Utah State | 0c | 7,877$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Utah State | 53c | 7,331$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.83 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Utah State | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boise State | 39c | 5,895$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.23 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Boise State | 52c | 5,515$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.54 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Boise State | 55c | 5,348$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.56 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State | 65c | 5,277$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.52 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Utah State | 46c | 4,604$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah State | 43c | 4,591$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.27 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Utah State | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boise State | 49c | 3,902$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.38 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State | 54c | 3,759$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.73 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Boise State | 27c | 3,535$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.61 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Boise State | 24c | 3,343$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.45 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Utah State | 48c | 3,288$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.97 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State | 61c | 3,251$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.59 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah State | 42c | 2,870$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.86 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Utah State | 46c | 2,747$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.83 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Utah State | 40c | 2,500$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Boise State | 25c | 2,306$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.27 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Boise State | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…9d7cbacked Utah State | 30c | 2,019$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Utah State | 43c | 2,000$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Utah State | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State | 52c | 1,970$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.73 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Utah State | 75c | 1,899$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Utah State | 45c | 1,800$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.08 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Utah State | 63c | 1,608$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.59 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…0c60backed Boise State | 46c | 1,518$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Boise State | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Boise State | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Boise State | 52c | 1,488$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.02 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Boise State | 56c | 1,387$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.48 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boise State | 35c | 1,180$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.43 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Boise State | 77c | 1,175$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Boise State | 50c | 1,166$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Utah State | 75c | 1,144$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.51 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Boise State | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Boise State | 55c | 1,120$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Boise State | 53c | 1,100$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Boise State | 52c | 1,017$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.31 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Boise State | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Utah State | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Utah State | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State | 55c | 992.14$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.08 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Boise State | 53c | 857$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Boise State | 54c | 814.38$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.04 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Utah State | 50c | 747.18$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Boise State | 59c | 687.97$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Boise State | 46c | 600.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Utah State | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Utah State | 74c | 538.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Boise State | 59c | 505.07$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah State | 72c | 502.73$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Boise State | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boise State | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Utah State | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boise State | 58c | 477.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Utah State | 50c | 462$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Utah State | 36c | 444$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…3666backed Boise State | 59c | 444$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Utah State | 46c | 427.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Utah State | 46c | 415$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed Boise State | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Utah State | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Boise State | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boise State | 57c | 375$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Utah State | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Boise State | 27c | 371.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Boise State | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…cc10backed Utah State | 28c | 351.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Boise State | 36c | 343.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…2158backed Utah State | 72c | 317.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Boise State | 58c | 316.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Utah State | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Utah State | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Boise State | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boise State | 18c | 280$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…6d37backed Utah State | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Utah State | 64c | 258.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Utah State | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Utah State | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Utah State | 66c | 250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Boise State | 54c | 237.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Boise State | 16c | 235.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Utah State | 42c | 227.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Boise State | 58c | 212$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Boise State | 37c | 204.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State vs. Utah Statethis page
- Boise State vs. Utah State: O/U 54.5Under won
- O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Boise State (-1.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Boise State (-2.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Boise State (-3.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Boise State (-4.5)Utah State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.