College Football · resolved market
O/U 55.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843dc27f83fcb665a8fcd460df7bf172320617db0de0270e496186aea09af4bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 51c | 44,671$22,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,736.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 30,024$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,711.66 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 47c | 12,510$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.88 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 6,153$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.01 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 5,613$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 50c | 5,518$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,341$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.3 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 762$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.38 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 447.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.71 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 48c | 293.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Over | 49c | 187.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 53c | 60.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 43.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Under | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 55.5this page
- Boise State vs. Utah StateBoise State won
- Boise State vs. Utah State: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Boise State (-1.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Boise State (-2.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Boise State (-3.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Boise State (-4.5)Utah State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.