TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa2c0…69d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT9439.4%37 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$49.33
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,068
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$460.56
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.02
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.76
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.67
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.93
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.63
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.89
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,239.43
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$196.84
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$75.71
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$248.47
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$357.19
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.45
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+222.8%+$623.87
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT6538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+957.1%+$2,995.73
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.13
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.49
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.65
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.67
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.73
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.85
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$118.47
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.4
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.72
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$128.6
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.77
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.61
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.31
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$219.7
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$299.9
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.54
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$280.24
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$475.94
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$118.79
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+65.5%+$131.46
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST5742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$224
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$93.4
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$121
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$327.53
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$138.16
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+176.3%+$1,527.1
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+119.7%+$477.89
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$178
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+84.3%+$99.3
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$83
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$444.82
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$298
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$769.34
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,420
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+97.8%+$258.23
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$652.16
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$955
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$657.35
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$178.56
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$552
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+62.2%+$300.13
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$338
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$363
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$717.95
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$218.99
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.07
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+656.6%+$1,196.32
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$92.73
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.1%+$46.31
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$126.05
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.2%+$867.28
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$417
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$123.77
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$305.3
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,052
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+277.5%+$1,503.38
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$325
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+223.3%+$955.67
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+371.6%+$1,951.09
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$122.53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$178.47
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$353
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$118.33
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+50.3%+$402.12
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.5%+$152.94
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$16.83
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$668.48
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,740Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$2,938.57
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$397.35
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$38.77
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+145.8%+$148.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Greece vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germanybacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$279
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.8%+$95.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$161
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$541
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.