College Football · resolved market
Penn State vs. Clemson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0a9008bc7cd8ca9cbb779dfedf1c7c3a818c0a8974edc9c667108d5942bbe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Stateof Penn State, Clemson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,271,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Penn State | 48c | 193,741$92,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,745.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Clemson | 52c | 160,000$83,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,200 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penn State | 44c | 101,198$44,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,816.35 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Clemson | 57c | 43,839$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clemson | 57c | 36,734$20,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,775.37 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penn State | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Clemson | 56c | 26,840$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,899.82 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Clemson | 54c | 22,760$12,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,336.4 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Clemson | 55c | 22,500$12,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,375 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Clemson | 52c | 21,202$11,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,026.81 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn State | 61c | 16,771$10,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.83 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Clemson | 3c | 15,874$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penn State | 43c | 15,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penn State | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson | 37c | 14,791$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.65 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clemson | 23c | 14,470$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.71 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Clemson | 0c | 13,915$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Clemson | 55c | 12,800$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Clemson | 56c | 10,700$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Penn State | 67c | 9,202$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.25 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clemson | 6c | 9,183$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.95 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Clemson | 57c | 9,090$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.2 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Clemson | 18c | 9,038$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.54 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clemson | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.78 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clemson | 0c | 7,021$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Clemson | 43c | 6,597$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.64 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clemson | 45c | 6,500$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.99 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Penn State | 46c | 6,398$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.88 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penn State | 44c | 6,343$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.23 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Penn State | 58c | 5,910$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Penn State | 50c | 5,121$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penn State | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Penn State | 44c | 4,873$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.88 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson | 52c | 4,737$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.85 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Clemson | 11c | 4,594$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Clemson | 52c | 4,573$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State | 60c | 4,275$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.45 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Penn State | 60c | 4,259$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.76 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Penn State | 46c | 4,248$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Penn State | 44c | 4,197$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Clemson | 19c | 4,110$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.97 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clemson | 49c | 3,962$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.2 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Penn State | 43c | 3,651$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.13 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Clemson | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Clemson | 26c | 3,219$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Penn State | 61c | 3,196$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Clemson | 25c | 2,828$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Penn State | 44c | 2,720$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.38 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clemson | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penn State | 61c | 2,367$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.04 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clemson | 55c | 2,298$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.9 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Clemson | 12c | 2,251$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Clemson | 9c | 2,222$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Penn State | 45c | 2,198$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penn State | 58c | 2,156$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.64 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Clemson | 46c | 2,155$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.42 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Clemson | 1c | 2,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed Clemson | 8c | 2,125$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Clemson | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Clemson | 40c | 2,024$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.74 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Clemson | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Penn State | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Clemson | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed Penn State | 74c | 1,842$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Penn State | 62c | 1,520$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clemson | 59c | 1,493$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.87 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Clemson | 17c | 1,490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Penn State | 61c | 1,446$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Clemson | 28c | 1,431$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clemson | 22c | 1,418$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clemson | 26c | 1,348$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.19 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Penn State | 58c | 1,324$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clemson | 40c | 1,273$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.41 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Clemson | 44c | 1,263$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.93 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Clemson | 12c | 1,252$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Penn State | 67c | 1,240$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Penn State | 58c | 1,165$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.1 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Clemson | 54c | 1,134$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.71 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Clemson | 28c | 1,126$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Penn State | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.89 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Penn State | 75c | 1,072$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Clemson | 33c | 1,070$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Penn State | 56c | 1,056$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clemson | 29c | 1,047$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Clemson | 46c | 1,021$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penn State | 56c | 1,006$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Clemson | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penn State | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Clemson | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Penn State | 71c | 984.73$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Penn State | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Penn State | 52c | 958.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Penn State | 45c | 933.9$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…cc4cbacked Clemson | 22c | 901.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Penn State | 44c | 861.14$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Clemson | 12c | 855$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Clemson | 42c | 817.14$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Clemson | 23c | 806$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clemson | 54c | 799.49$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.73 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Penn State | 76c | 771.44$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State vs. Clemsonthis page
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Penn State vs. Clemson: 1H MoneylinePenn State won
- Penn State vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson (-2.5)Penn State won
- Spread: Clemson (-3.5)Penn State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.