TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9dd…3cc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Boxing at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$654.45
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$284.19
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+405.5%+$3,486.64
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$540.99
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+116.1%+$4,780.69
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+201.8%+$4,124.11
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+139.9%+$1,693.85
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,148.4
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+154.1%+$571.04
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,208.4
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,627.48
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+209.6%+$1,431.84
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$6,057.33
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,198
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+211.6%+$8,631.06
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,518.77
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+512.8%+$3,016.45
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$729
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,377.65
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,044.83
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46,536.84
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22,977Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+118%+$27,121.13
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,709Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+553.4%+$9,455.91
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$403.87
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+489.6%+$244.82
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$916.8
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$245.28
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$858.64
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,188.61
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,124.7
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$3,539.55
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,007.63
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,847.56
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,363.01
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,475Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+253%+$8,792.22
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,762Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+66.3%+$5,812.7
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,105
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+333.1%+$10,598.91
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+327.3%+$10,858.2
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+695.9%+$6,169.34
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,470.82
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,574Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+158%+$8,804.8
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,219
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$3,329.28
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,442Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+71.7%+$2,467.34
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,605.85
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,718Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+235.2%+$15,801.27
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,884Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+93.2%+$1,755.01
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25.5%+$304.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.