TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Pistons, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,818,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,887,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,818,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Jazz22c154,447$33,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,468.527745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz21c144,680$30,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,297.1251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons44c140,000$62,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,199.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pistons31c87,141$26,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,900.9448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons77c47,107$36,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,482.8337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz65c45,873$29,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,266.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons78c45,684$35,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,636.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Jazz56c44,864$24,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,893.4844654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pistons61c40,888$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Pistons78c35,715$27,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,857.563148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz67c34,838$23,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,631.5181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons78c32,985$25,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,821.352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Pistons79c28,835$22,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,779.2613248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz23c27,500$6,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,17520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz33c27,307$9,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,201.031,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz50c25,226$12,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,713.41,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pistons78c24,619$19,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,202.8219560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons79c20,806$16,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,436.582,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Jazz53c18,216$9,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,517.167149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz22c18,182$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,181.791,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Jazz23c16,622$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,811.2237539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Jazz68c15,685$10,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,019.254645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pistons78c15,003$11,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,702.3420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz22c15,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons78c15,000$11,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,649.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz22c14,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,919.9735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Pistons21c12,908$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.874261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons79c12,658$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pistons24c12,371$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Pistons1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x783c…7627backed Jazz21c11,905$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz22c10,630$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,320.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz53c10,415$5,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x532f…e626backed Pistons79c10,334$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.715360.4%32 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons53c10,152$5,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,380.5359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons77c10,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz22c10,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.971,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons79c9,627$7,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,589.1961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Jazz75c9,529$7,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.616848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Jazz24c9,314$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.363342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Pistons79c9,300$7,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3477468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz58c8,260$4,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.131,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz21c8,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,349.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7321…5e5fbacked Pistons78c7,650$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.971520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Jazz21c7,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5308827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Pistons78c6,943$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz26c6,898$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.6461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…74a0backed Pistons62c6,497$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,020250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz18c6,406$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,222.991,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Pistons8c6,325$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.1423043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons73c6,287$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.363,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz58c6,200$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Jazz33c6,168$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.112744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Pistons78c6,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Jazz79c5,994$4,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.826851.5%35 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons78c5,843$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.5844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3af…35c1backed Pistons80c5,655$4,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz22c5,632$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.7374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Pistons40c5,267$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11517331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons77c5,251$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons78c5,222$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons67c5,152$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons49c5,000$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.5582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…254bbacked Jazz80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Pistons41c4,867$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons32c4,819$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.241,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pistons79c4,793$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.2647043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked Jazz24c4,475$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.075832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Pistons25c4,443$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons79c4,425$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pistons76c4,400$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons60c4,368$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.2273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84de…c1e3backed Pistons76c4,353$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz21c4,278$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz45c4,278$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz37c4,238$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz57c4,195$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.031,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Jazz23c4,026$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.091723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Jazz23c4,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pistons78c3,854$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.415347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Jazz58c3,805$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.9547856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Pistons77c3,777$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.2914753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Jazz37c3,736$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.5734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Jazz37c3,675$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.727144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Jazz32c3,584$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c42…7eb4backed Pistons79c3,526$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Pistons64c3,518$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.9362539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz44c3,405$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.0338649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Jazz60c3,335$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.363568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons79c3,333$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.0776850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz47c3,191$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.8242640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pistons43c3,180$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35829037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Pistons32c3,093$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Pistons78c3,020$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick71cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Pistons65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz18c3,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.9895641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.961,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Jazz25c2,992$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.8612541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons1c2,974$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.