TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Pistons, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Pistons50c96,198$47,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,681.2725248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons2c30,975$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.711,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…5f29backed Jazz51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,7002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Jazz50c22,857$11,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,428.529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz50c13,395$6,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,703.161,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Pistons49c10,245$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.119351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons50c10,214$5,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1072,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9002,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710a…a5d8backed Pistons51c8,300$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2332157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71ea…a8eebacked Jazz49c8,300$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2332356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz49c8,090$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.4951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz50c8,001$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Jazz52c7,820$4,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.551540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz50c7,303$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.461,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons12c4,128$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons51c3,104$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.111,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.992,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz47c2,885$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.891,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3e…949bbacked Pistons53c2,850$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pistons52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz51c2,460$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.6120744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pistons53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16622055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pistons49c2,180$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.151,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons53c1,878$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz47c1,875$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.751,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Jazz67c1,866$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.621055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Pistons50c1,860$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Jazz51c1,285$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.651984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Pistons53c1,198$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.7827735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons52c1,092$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Pistons49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons33c956.61$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons51c776$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Jazz69c723.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.034961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Jazz51c665.33$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7711946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Jazz49c613$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Jazz51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29422053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons29c548.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Jazz50c527.63$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.828351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Jazz50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Jazz52c427.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3846258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Pistons50c424.66$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3313951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jazz48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6da…235ebacked Jazz48c376$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…fa9fbacked Pistons53c376$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.281428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons49c342.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Jazz64c304.38$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.825754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Jazz52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4615052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Jazz51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.19844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Pistons49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz48c203.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Jazz50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Jazz52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3124533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Jazz52c156.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9810451%53 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Pistons49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pistons37c147.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.061,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Jazz49c143.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6281845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Pistons52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Pistons31c129.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4831144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Jazz63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.259458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Jazz49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.26045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Pistons51c117.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012639.7%50 W · 76 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Pistons51c116.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Jazz49c116$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.168852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Jazz52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3813651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz57c113$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6463745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Jazz49c113$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.636349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Jazz65c109.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.618440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Jazz48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Jazz61c103.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4611443%49 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Jazz49c101$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.517451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Jazz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Jazz35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Jazz44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz44c97.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons39c93.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Jazz63c83.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6453539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz48c81.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Pistons51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407844.9%35 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Jazz51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.228759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0e…4babbacked Jazz52c73.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz70c73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Jazz49c69.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.719254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pistons49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.171,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Jazz52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4632450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz47c61.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.612,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz62c58.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.271,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.