NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0451ccbcf681832a8585c6557ffd2e454884a21f14c1d429c4c3fc9c65eca291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 47c | 80,000$37,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,400 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 43,836$22,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,995.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 34,535$18,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,303.76 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 23,037$12,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,209.61 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 51c | 20,773$10,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,687.23 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 13,585$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 12,554$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,651.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Over | 74c | 10,900$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 20c | 7,090$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.3 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Under | 9c | 5,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 26c | 5,101$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.46 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 4,632$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 4,062$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.28 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 29c | 3,492$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.45 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,987$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.11 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 2,952$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.47 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 72c | 1,918$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.48 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.81 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,541$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.17 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 30c | 1,276$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,054$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 6c | 999.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de3…b690backed Over | 51c | 970.84$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 795.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 553.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 490.13$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 447$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 48c | 412.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 52c | 411$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Over | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Under | 49c | 405.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 386$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 53c | 380.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 367.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…8fb9backed Under | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…2eadbacked Over | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Under | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 345.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 319$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 299.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 48c | 280$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Under | 52c | 261.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7cbbacked Over | 54c | 227.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 50c | 200.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Under | 47c | 197.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 158.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 50c | 149$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 52c | 120.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d5bfbacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 44c | 119.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 96.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…ae9abacked Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 82.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Jazz won
- Pistons vs. JazzJazz won
- Pistons vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.