TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca6f…e727

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.2
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Derby County FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.33
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36.15
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+222.6%+$89.03
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$37.96
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.07
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$37.8
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.03
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203%+$119.79
Will VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+157.4%+$31.47
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64.4
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.04
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+354.5%+$61.62
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+101.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+122.2%+$38.5
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.8%+$7.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+244.8%+$73.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.38
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.