Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c58437e6c1597c5aad2baddb6a69d291b42bade598001d2c17520b4d6d832b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 4c | 19,984$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.36 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 35c | 12,155$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.14 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 7,904$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Over | 34c | 2,743$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 2,564$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 34c | 2,558$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.84 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Over | 34c | 2,065$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 1,571$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.62 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Under | 68c | 1,300$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 29c | 1,046$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 35c | 978.28$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…d0b0backed Under | 65c | 978.28$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 34c | 562.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.16 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 65c | 552.86$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe9…e2f7backed Over | 35c | 538.57$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 34c | 443.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 65c | 415.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 10c | 280$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…0f59backed Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 63c | 247.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Over | 17c | 230$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…d24abacked Over | 34c | 227.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 34c | 221$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 23c | 204.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…6090backed Over | 38c | 176.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…de9dbacked Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 66c | 121$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…e839backed Over | 36c | 92.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 34c | 88.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 33c | 82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 17c | 62.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…a1e5backed Under | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…8487backed Over | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 72c | 44.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…6135backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Under | 74c | 28.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.