TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c59,557$33,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,291.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under44c29,555$13,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,550.8315049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c26,382$14,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,579.512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over28c21,089$5,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.0211029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x010d…2b15backed Over53c11,608$6,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over36c11,495$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.134841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c10,415$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,894.51,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under48c10,010$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.3910148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over57c9,678$5,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over56c9,427$5,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,279.124158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over56c8,584$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,807.193737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Under42c8,567$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.677082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over46c7,395$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.72445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c5,773$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.721,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c4,688$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.171,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over47c3,200$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under77c2,594$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.694367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over62c2,314$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.482669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb461…d1dabacked Over57c2,304$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under44c2,283$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c2,011$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.5733057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c2,001$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.892,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.983658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.894358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,962$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.142,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c1,711$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.2625752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,440$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under42c1,260$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under38c1,201$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.721965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fc8…d014backed Over56c1,193$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Over56c1,168$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.886262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under43c1,145$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.0539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c1,105$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over56c1,036$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Over56c893.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over57c766.67$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4374850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb56b…068ebacked Under44c750$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x381e…3f00backed Over57c730$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ec…0ce2backed Over57c710$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0b…51c0backed Under44c690$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over55c675.64$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under65c667.65$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.111,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.678662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over56c657.14$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429a…d58cbacked Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over56c589.29$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over57c566.8$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5411846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Under45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.562142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over57c529.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over56c508.93$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under45c499.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.994047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over56c420.07$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2419426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over56c407.14$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22810046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c399.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over56c359.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.391850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over56c355.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.274656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e67…8b45backed Over61c354.1$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over58c346.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under43c335.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Under41c329.22$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.246838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under77c324.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6716160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c301$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over61c298.3$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9612753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over55c290.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0554128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under40c288.64$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9458445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over57c280.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c265.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.431,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over57c247.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c240.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10116731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c240$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c240$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.435157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Under41c233.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.074862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Over57c231.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.768155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over46c229.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c225$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over52c222.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.72356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Over56c220$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over60c217$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.23630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.