TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe060…fda8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT8155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.37
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$141.36
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$105.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,918Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$509.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$6,593.21
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+74.2%+$334.1
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$216.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$222.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.44
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$39.33
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$117.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$71.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+67.8%+$82.35
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$177.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+110.5%+$109.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$147.59
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$314.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$101.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$219.44
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$192.84
Will Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$19.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.88
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104%+$78.67
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$67.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,998.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$237.08
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$222.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$136.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$39.44
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.85
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.31
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,084.87
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$118.26
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$77.66
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.85
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$94.61
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$128.04
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.58
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$138.2
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$32.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$327.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$175.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$61.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.