Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc32fb8e68917c22abe553167ba0a4993ba333e8640728ce2e6389d26f216724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 39c | 159,807$61,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,779.52 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 61c | 72,526$44,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,238.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 62c | 72,242$44,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,291.47 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 38c | 44,485$16,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,726.88 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 38c | 40,575$15,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,283.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 25,976$8,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,051.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 25,000$15,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,791.75 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 35c | 16,492$5,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.7 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 13,949$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.74 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 62c | 10,188$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 62c | 7,988$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.47 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes | 63c | 7,896$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 6,380$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.8 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 5,620$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.35 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 4,816$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Yes | 62c | 4,219$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 62c | 3,600$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 3,498$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.42 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 79c | 3,410$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 62c | 3,331$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 61c | 3,298$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.26 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 63c | 3,225$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 74c | 2,800$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 2,641$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.7 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,581$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 62c | 2,508$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 18c | 2,292$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Yes | 63c | 2,287$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 2,249$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.43 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 63c | 2,207$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 62c | 2,097$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.96 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 38c | 1,888$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 19c | 1,788$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,578$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.07 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 45c | 1,534$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.33 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 58c | 1,387$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,376$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 60c | 1,264$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 62c | 1,133$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 78c | 1,133$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…e87dbacked Yes | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 55c | 956.69$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 75c | 937.5$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 63c | 933.33$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 61c | 891.8$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 38c | 888$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 883.37$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4908backed Yes | 59c | 847.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 60c | 833.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…866abacked Yes | 63c | 796.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked Yes | 76c | 786.52$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 80c | 739.25$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 78c | 736.87$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 61c | 736.07$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…74cfbacked No | 39c | 679.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Yes | 62c | 668.57$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 60c | 660$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Yes | 61c | 653.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 75c | 649.74$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 62c | 645.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 62c | 623.69$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Yes | 53c | 613.77$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 30c | 610.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…a3c4backed Yes | 62c | 579.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 56c | 570.68$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…f9d4backed Yes | 55c | 564.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…5431backed Yes | 62c | 519.1$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 62c | 500.16$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…ffd0backed Yes | 62c | 469.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 62c | 466.35$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…cd89backed Yes | 63c | 447.06$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 442.05$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 79c | 434$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 420.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed No | 38c | 415.45$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 63c | 412.54$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…25c0backed Yes | 62c | 404.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 65c | 400.31$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.