TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda10…eecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+300%+$90
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$86.16
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$277.55
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+148.5%+$234.52
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$30
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+105.8%+$129.02
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$123.13
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$120
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$200
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$114.08
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$93.07
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.02
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.68
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Nets vs. Rocketsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$31.28
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.74
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$90.26
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$117.33
Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$263
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,275
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-53.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.3
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+50.9%+$203.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$629.43
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+41.8%+$190.99
Will Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$366
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,373Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$946.43
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$272.34
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$132.75
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$63.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$311.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$501
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$248.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$99.34
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$20.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$242.18
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+77.3%+$329.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.2%+$273.78
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$83.33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-64.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$250.51
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$186.01
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$237.6
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+86%+$60.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+127.2%+$127.23
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$90
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$250
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$178.76
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$86.92
Will Inter win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+184.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs SPARTA (BO3)backed SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+300%+$90
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Dynamo Eclot (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$106.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+199%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-8.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$130
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$758
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.44
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$199
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.