La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820eacd60c5c61a4b45c963b9b23883a232e06a2a6106444a7c1dc9864f2b319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 44c | 102,265$44,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,990.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 49,438$27,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,619 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 40,000$17,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,192.92 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 37,339$21,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,135.4 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 57c | 34,899$19,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,006.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked No | 56c | 21,008$11,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,243.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,821$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 45c | 2,550$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 2,448$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.46 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 44c | 1,602$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 32c | 1,555$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 55c | 1,256$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 45c | 1,227$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 56c | 1,212$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Yes | 43c | 1,211$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 64c | 1,188$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.02 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,174$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.04 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 1,115$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,063$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.59 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 56c | 1,030$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.42 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 932.58$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.06 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 37c | 898.28$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.18 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 56c | 748.34$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.78 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 44c | 717$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 62c | 602.49$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…8f47backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…fb27backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 42c | 549.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 41c | 529.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 67c | 481.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 21c | 468.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 39c | 460.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 454.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…76bdbacked Yes | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…a269backed Yes | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 44c | 409.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 372$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 56c | 279.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 36c | 279.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 251.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 45c | 234.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 43c | 232.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…a5e4backed Yes | 44c | 228.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 45c | 224.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 61c | 203.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 184.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 79c | 183.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 57c | 170$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 39c | 167.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 44c | 159.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…57b1backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…9202backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…4b85backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db6…8f5bbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…9a6bbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…f107backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…3e30backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…bcdabacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…f161backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…9b7bbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 41c | 147.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 39c | 146.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…93b1backed Yes | 44c | 134.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 36c | 116.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 44c | 113.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Yes | 27c | 113.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 44c | 113.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 62c | 109.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed No | 57c | 105.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…4a0ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 43c | 91.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 38c | 90.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 23c | 88.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will Alaves vs. Valencia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.