TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$520,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No40c76,673$30,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,669.233557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes60c32,533$19,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,013.494139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes60c24,400$14,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,760850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c17,839$11,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,882.121,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes72c16,921$12,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes60c16,753$10,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,701.21540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No39c14,407$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,618.545257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed No40c12,565$5,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,025.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No40c10,353$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.751844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No40c8,350$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.981838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No25c8,185$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.2533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes65c6,500$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+77.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes49c6,360$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.3562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab6…ce9bbacked Yes60c4,882$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+295.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c4,116$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.0352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes60c4,065$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.465651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.963053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes62c3,868$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.895330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c3,445$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes59c3,306$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes67c3,038$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c2,981$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.9630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c2,661$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Yes61c2,604$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…e677backed Yes61c2,546$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+191%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes59c2,480$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.7310964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes70c2,453$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.7718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes78c2,408$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.144231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed No1c2,404$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c2,269$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.1823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c2,224$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.6687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No39c2,063$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.526443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes62c2,002$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c1,811$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes80c1,779$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.7145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No39c1,733$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.837060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes62c1,650$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.086942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No40c1,512$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.1326354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No9c1,263$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.145829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes56c1,136$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6411070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes59c1,100$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes77c1,077$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.236943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c1,063$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No15c1,059$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.344833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes79c1,037$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.56132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201163.6%7 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.42per pick22cpaid+183%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No46c981.16$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.342050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes64c978.4$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes60c904.43$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.77875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.174544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes55c886.25$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.78560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed No2c805.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes61c800.49$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x658c…029cbacked Yes61c800.49$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes63c793.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No2c752.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes61c698.03$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.231428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Yes60c650.67$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked No40c649.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.981136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes62c630.45$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes51c613.23$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.483225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes66c596.56$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed No43c547.37$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.58435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes63c530.23$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.813246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes61c520.32$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes54c511.68$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No41c500.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.225947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…d005backed Yes60c491.62$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Yes52c475.16$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes61c467.49$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes59c451.72$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.366762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes52c417.94$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No13c408.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.11520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes60c401.61$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.641758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+116.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes58c399.93$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.974751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af0…9996backed Yes61c398.52$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd370…e78ebacked Yes60c395.48$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes61c390.64$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.351850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No5c388.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.414330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes57c387.89$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0724051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.21361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes57c364.18$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes59c357.97$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.778254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes57c339.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+49%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes60c334.93$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No20c333.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1311735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.131376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes57c320.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.886330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.