Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc90c4d6199244b310a4d9178179b719404939cbff1e0ad5d5549ea690e1834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 6,355$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.39 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 2,939$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.61 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 17c | 1,957$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.57 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 16c | 1,899$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,136$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 1,034$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 984.55$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 490.4$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 24c | 477.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 64c | 405$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 66c | 402.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 75c | 307.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 76c | 289.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…6d9cbacked Yes | 29c | 286.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 12c | 242.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 33c | 232.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 220.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 24c | 216.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 19c | 202.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 62c | 199.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 76c | 197.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 17c | 127.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 24c | 97.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 94.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 93.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd4…9210backed No | 76c | 87.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 87.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 24c | 67.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2133backed Yes | 32c | 60.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 66c | 58.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…f0b7backed Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 76c | 43.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 40c | 34.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 33c | 31.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 77c | 25.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.