TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc995…05a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will UD Almería vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.6
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Real Racing Club vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.3
Will Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$67.98
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.34
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$43.45
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$61.35
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.91
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.51
Will Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.71
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.99
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.3
Will Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.41
Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$59.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$20.62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138%+$46.48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+462.9%+$104.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+322.3%+$119.26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$166.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.38
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.95
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$37.17
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$65.07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$64.03
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$6.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.05
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.