Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abacfad365f1269ec96f2d38f000036faca25f3e9f89bfd3d9835f7e68b717d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 3,536$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 29c | 2,684$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.46 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 1,576$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 29c | 980.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 68c | 706.89$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 647.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Yes | 63c | 395.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 71c | 390.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 71c | 385$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 71c | 371.71$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 62c | 322.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 36c | 296.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 244.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 35c | 177.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 71c | 167$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 163.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 140.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 29c | 111.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 71c | 110.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 97.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 77c | 73.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 29c | 50.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 34c | 49.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 69c | 49.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 43.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 60c | 23.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.