TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes22c106,819$23,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,834.8211445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c21,480$16,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.82,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No79c18,743$14,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.094261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No79c13,824$10,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.9610962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c10,906$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.032,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No77c9,919$7,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.334546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes21c8,603$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.517648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c8,121$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.011,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No78c8,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes21c6,351$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.642638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No78c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes13c5,893$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes7c4,105$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.82240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c3,645$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No78c3,500$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No77c2,463$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.479849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No79c1,728$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.826262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes16c1,000$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c999.96$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c952.63$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No77c928.32$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.515052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c910.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19814355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No80c821.02$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.27061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17614354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17612757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Yes17c724.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No78c666.9$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No78c658.67$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.915251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc040…9121backed Yes27c637.47$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.121233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes12c627.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes16c564.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.254920.4%10 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes28c513.18$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.527736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes21c503.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11016858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes10c497.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes21c476.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0219235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes21c476.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.021338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No78c460$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No77c454.6$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.263545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3212233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No79c399.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes4c376.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c370.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c370.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes21c340$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes21c319.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.024553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes19c299.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.12015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No79c297.31$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.434369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c264.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.041,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked Yes14c261.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4b…ccd1backed Yes21c226.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Yes21c226.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f04…fe55backed Yes9c210.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1839…9fccbacked Yes10c207.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b90…335cbacked Yes23c206.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfebe…8bcabacked Yes8c204.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c196.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.231,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c190.37$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes17c190.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1110232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes27c178.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.814949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c13…e689backed Yes12c173.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb79c…04afbacked Yes10c167.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2168…c154backed Yes12c159.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf340…9369backed Yes21c150.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3356158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No79c149.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes21c145.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.485225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes17c143.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7511527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad3…38acbacked Yes19c140.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes25c138.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad4…242cbacked Yes21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed No75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.833246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes20c119$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes17c111.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.913847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes16c105.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.335837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2233551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes22c97.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes18c96.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2943241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.