Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0168b10211f930115e37c1a5d4243fb9139cd9eba2478be462719d0076b31302

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $220,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $252,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,619 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	16c	19,238$3,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,073.4	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	1c	13,486$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.79	762	41.9%319 W · 443 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	10c	10,978$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.18	752	44.8%337 W · 415 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	8c	9,992$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.46	1,424	44.3%631 W · 793 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	15c	8,684$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.06	6,217	45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L	-33.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes	15c	7,477$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.54	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	16c	4,873$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.52	1,190	32.5%387 W · 803 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933a…d3c1backed Yes	0c	4,542$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	15c	4,521$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.1	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes	4c	3,980$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.07	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	8c	3,293$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.85	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes	14c	2,699$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.88	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	14c	2,007$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	12c	1,754$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.99	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	21c	1,363$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.77	200	48%96 W · 104 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Yes	4c	1,196$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-28%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes	2c	1,177$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes	18c	1,056$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.16	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	17c	971.27$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.12	534	34.3%183 W · 351 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes	17c	950.2$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.53	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes	17c	830.47$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.18	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	5c	804.38$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	117	27.4%32 W · 85 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes	1c	789.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes	6c	781.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.91	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	+97.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	2c	729.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	14c	714.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes	7c	649.64$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.71	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes	15c	632.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.9	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes	15c	626.34$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.95	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	15c	613.79$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.09	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes	20c	476$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes	14c	429.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.12	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa1…f3f9backed Yes	19c	394.38$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	16c	336.61$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.95	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes	15c	316.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	451	42.6%192 W · 259 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes	16c	296.75$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes	7c	289.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes	19c	285.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.23	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Yes	17c	285.06$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes	15c	283.24$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.49	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e74…13ebbacked Yes	11c	272.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes	15c	253.07$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes	16c	246.97$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.86	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	16c	207.73$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.24	230	32.6%75 W · 155 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3628…c986backed Yes	17c	195.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes	9c	190.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes	15c	186.76$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b8…7d2ebacked Yes	7c	180.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes	18c	169.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	122	39.3%48 W · 74 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes	15c	158.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes	19c	150.22$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.54	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes	20c	142.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes	15c	141.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	313	55.9%175 W · 138 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes	15c	138.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes	18c	132.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes	15c	126.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0719…83f0backed Yes	15c	126.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	17c	116.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc82d…5fd3backed Yes	17c	111.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	162	50.6%82 W · 80 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes	17c	111.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6826…c1dfbacked Yes	18c	105.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa3…febbbacked Yes	16c	100.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Yes	16c	97.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes	17c	96.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…dad3backed Yes	17c	96.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes	20c	95.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	137	35%48 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes	17c	95.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Yes	15c	94.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd5…6dcdbacked Yes	15c	94.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes	16c	89.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes	16c	89.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes	22c	86.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes	17c	83.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes	17c	83.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x917f…4e2cbacked Yes	17c	83.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes	18c	79.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b4…e88cbacked Yes	20c	66.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes	16c	60.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…cfe4backed No	80c	44.46$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa454…47b4backed No	80c	39.52$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event