TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b90…335c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.47
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.08
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.62
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.73
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.32
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$86.71
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.14
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.04
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.97
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.08
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.3
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$98.49
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.48
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$94.53
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.83
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.32
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mayra Bueno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.