UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb232a98dcf27a8355e5b6a4a49996d0af2bc63dea31c81de00d8705594029e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michelle Montagueof Mayra Bueno Silva, Michelle Montague
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 89,229$18,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,738.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 49,035$38,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,224.31 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 41,471$32,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,709.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 38,660$8,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,118.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…b31bbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 0c | 33,933$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 28,065$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 15c | 14,686$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.05 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 9,704$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 14c | 9,560$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 7,899$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.83 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 7,768$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.33 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Michelle Montague | 80c | 6,175$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 5,835$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.4 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…3558backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 4,421$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 16c | 4,388$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.38 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 4,380$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.98 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…7a7ebacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 4,094$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…3c3dbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 3,984$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 3,975$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.81 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1f…421cbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 3,619$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 3,536$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 3,515$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.2 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…0ff7backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 3,483$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…7a69backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 3,254$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 13c | 3,252$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.62 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…d4f5backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 3,105$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 2,990$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.22 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 25c | 2,835$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…1c65backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 2,557$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 2,475$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Michelle Montague | 80c | 2,401$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 2,150$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Michelle Montague | 77c | 2,133$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.08 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michelle Montague | 74c | 1,973$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.3 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 15c | 1,971$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 1,897$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 10c | 1,776$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.75 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…8ba7backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 1,699$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 26c | 1,686$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.29 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…bc1bbacked Michelle Montague | 80c | 1,474$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 14c | 1,351$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…7fb5backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 1,347$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Michelle Montague | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 1,221$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 36c | 1,080$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 23c | 1,039$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Michelle Montague | 66c | 1,037$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…cfadbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 1,030$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 993.8$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 30c | 987.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 987.4$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 12c | 975.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 23c | 967.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 890.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 28c | 886.79$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Michelle Montague | 79c | 793.72$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Michelle Montague | 78c | 744.94$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 22c | 728.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Michelle Montague | 74c | 722.41$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 709.2$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 703.03$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…8b45backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 683.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michelle Montague | 74c | 657.69$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Michelle Montague | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…ddb7backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 585.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 13c | 562.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Michelle Montague | 75c | 544$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Michelle Montague | 80c | 512.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 20c | 506.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…a19bbacked Michelle Montague | 80c | 499.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 13c | 492.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 22c | 476.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 454.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Michelle Montague | 80c | 432.25$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 23c | 407.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Mayra Bueno Silva | 22c | 399.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9c5fbacked Michelle Montague | 80c | 398.16$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 394.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…224dbacked Michelle Montague | 76c | 388.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Michelle Montague | 78c | 377.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 372.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 26c | 372.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Michelle Montague | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 11c | 342.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…76e0backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 7c | 340.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 21c | 333.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Michelle Montague | 80c | 316.16$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mayra Bueno Silva | 22c | 312.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…21adbacked Michelle Montague | 80c | 298.38$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Michelle Montague | 79c | 295.81$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.