TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$760,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$807,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Golden Knights52c295,743$153,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,786.2111644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Utah48c200,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights51c124,866$63,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,681.6267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah48c85,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,199.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Golden Knights0c43,167$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f26…1b86backed Utah49c40,976$20,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,897.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Utah48c34,312$16,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,842.0514650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Utah49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9612950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Utah57c14,113$8,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,088.525552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah48c10,142$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,273.641,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Utah49c9,887$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Golden Knights52c9,245$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,807.4432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Utah49c8,725$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.554555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights52c7,471$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah67c7,320$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.821,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Golden Knights1c7,019$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8718520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Utah78c6,848$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.9989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Golden Knights47c6,778$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,197.827038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights5c6,016$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.752,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Utah49c5,935$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.93551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah76c5,905$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.552,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Golden Knights8c5,658$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7332451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Utah48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9129146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Golden Knights20c4,964$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.7910743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Utah49c4,869$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.154555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Golden Knights52c3,735$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.42979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights6c3,300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights50c3,284$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.841,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Utah48c3,136$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.8661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Utah49c3,054$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.3413333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Golden Knights1c2,900$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Utah80c2,416$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2640356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Utah48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Utah48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights20c1,904$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.81,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Golden Knights52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Utah49c1,829$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Golden Knights4c1,714$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.958445.2%38 W · 46 L+14.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Golden Knights28c1,707$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3824837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Golden Knights52c1,695$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.843158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Utah60c1,638$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.035662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Golden Knights7c1,609$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3329319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Utah50c1,552$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77624749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights52c1,550$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah74c1,513$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Golden Knights54c1,512$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Golden Knights6c1,495$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Golden Knights31c1,460$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4319836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7204…9d31backed Golden Knights21c1,419$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.033330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights51c1,400$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.1876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah50c1,398$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.221,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Golden Knights37c1,379$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.434951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bb6…544dbacked Golden Knights4c1,243$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Golden Knights12c1,197$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8730155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Utah49c1,193$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2422946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights2c1,106$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Utah49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9911153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Utah49c1,093$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.4189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Golden Knights50c1,045$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5614837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Golden Knights2c1,007$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7617227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Utah49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Golden Knights50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Golden Knights1c954.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Golden Knights1c950$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Utah76c947.98$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.311251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Golden Knights7c944.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Golden Knights52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Golden Knights52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.65954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Golden Knights52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights13c912.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7843743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Golden Knights31c866.51$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6413850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights50c845.77$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Golden Knights6c819.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0512654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Golden Knights14c792.29$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5416945%76 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Utah49c766.37$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.857648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Utah49c741.89$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3615252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Golden Knights2c702.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4533234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…073cbacked Golden Knights52c699.26$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.621855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Golden Knights9c693.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.417442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd75…c044backed Golden Knights52c692.95$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Utah48c680$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.633554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights13c646.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Utah62c637.29$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4511543.5%50 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2408…b5a9backed Golden Knights52c625.21$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.111844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Golden Knights26c624.76$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.616446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked Utah49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Utah66c587.88$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.924751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Golden Knights13c585.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0413652.9%72 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3977…34d4backed Golden Knights51c582.36$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Golden Knights51c570.67$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1812258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Golden Knights13c569.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6742948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Golden Knights52c567.58$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.142147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1443…d4dabacked Golden Knights52c562.32$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.413342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Golden Knights52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.366750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Golden Knights52c530.83$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380a…1321backed Utah50c524.77$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Utah48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26030365.7%199 W · 104 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Utah48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed Utah49c494$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.