NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa387cbcdd78460951b789641a25a868d1836c8802d976cda8aaf08f86b8f3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 10,611$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.35 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Under | 59c | 10,321$6,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.26 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 1,993$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.68 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 1,403$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.13 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 854.86$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.77 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 40c | 555.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 487.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 464.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 428.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 38c | 342.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 338.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 59c | 319.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 265.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 238.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 235.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 232.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 42c | 189.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 186.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 43c | 163.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Under | 60c | 146.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Under | 30c | 123.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 45c | 122.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Over | 41c | 112.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 108.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Under | 31c | 103.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 41c | 101.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 42c | 75.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 74.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 71.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Under | 60c | 68.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 62.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 46c | 52.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 52c | 42.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over | 47c | 39.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 41c | 35.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7075…0a8dbacked Over | 65c | 34.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Over | 47c | 31.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Under | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 26.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c4…5e52backed Under | 74c | 25.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…8bc4backed Under | 60c | 23.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 65c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 55c | 23.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 66c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 66c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 17.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 68c | 15.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahUtah won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.