NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22cc7f8a30236b5eb5cafb8e869d588f13adbcaebdc0705491a8e1e7721eeaea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 78c | 2,586$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.43 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,372$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,286$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 8c | 1,266$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 7c | 971.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 827.8$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.28 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 26c | 779.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 617.89$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.34 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 80c | 593.89$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 531.53$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Over | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 26c | 481.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 19c | 434.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 54c | 299.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 46c | 287.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 265.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 240.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 226.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 31c | 216.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 14c | 161.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 38c | 132.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 75c | 131.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 78c | 128.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 58c | 119.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 79c | 118.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 55c | 102.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 22c | 96.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 20c | 93.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…b36ebacked Under | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 21c | 83.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Over | 79c | 78.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…baa7backed Over | 55c | 76.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…34fabacked Under | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a03…2e47backed Over | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 18c | 61.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 18c | 61.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 18c | 61.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Over | 55c | 55.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 78c | 52.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 77c | 46.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Under | 59c | 43.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 38c | 42.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 75c | 39.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Over | 55c | 35.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 34.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 38c | 33.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 55c | 28.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 38c | 27.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 19.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 57c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Over | 79c | 18.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahUtah won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.