TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32eb…f531

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT9562.1%59 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.32
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$11.98
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$19.62
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$16.52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.74
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$10.14
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+74%+$13.38
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$6.88
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$4.69
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$10.82
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$5.77
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT6864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$38.08
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.23
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.22
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.13
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+60%+$13.13
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$5.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.48
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.05
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.37
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$11.97
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$33.59
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.51
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.96
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.61
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.84
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.61
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.61
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.06
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.17
United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.13
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.82
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.24
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.28
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$47.72
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.37
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$49.52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$9.44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.69
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$18.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$13.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$21.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+211.8%+$110.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$23.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick14cpaid+104.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$22.09
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+274%+$99.82
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+2,184.3%+$1,634.79
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.32
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$13.44
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+62%+$12.11
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+116.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$28.68
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$4.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.32
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+176.9%+$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$24.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?backed Databricks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.