TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under41c58,226$23,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,869.8167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over59c40,006$23,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,400.3941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over59c21,369$12,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,785.8410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over59c12,603$7,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under41c12,500$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,124.9851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under41c3,352$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.8833450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under43c3,085$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.122133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9812152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over59c1,648$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.793873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under41c1,531$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.5713437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c1,471$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.351,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c1,457$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.6666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over58c1,293$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.3717761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over59c1,154$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.8229448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under41c976.76$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4735829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over59c900$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2361…8307backed Under43c796.54$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c703.38$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c599.97$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under43c546.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over60c542.72$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0351…ab88backed Under42c542.58$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c529$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8931848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c331.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.932,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over60c308.88$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.085754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12012733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over58c258.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6727049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over69c247.8$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c247.09$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.711,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.462962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c234.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.041,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over58c233$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over58c233$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8638147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over59c221.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.621,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over58c209.37$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under38c185.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3317227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over72c183.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over57c182.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c176.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Over59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.789760.8%59 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5b…efbebacked Over59c123.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8412150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c104.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under43c100.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.052,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under57c99.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.648347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Over59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9916945%76 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over60c93.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5814351.7%74 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97af…9bc6backed Over58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under44c87.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.676448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Over58c86.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.547842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8969653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Over58c77.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under33c73.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.178562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under41c73.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0614052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over68c72.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3117456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over67c72.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.036056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.943948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under41c68.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1310357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under49c65.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.969231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under42c64.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.132245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under21c63.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0928340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over57c62.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8112548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c61.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Under47c61.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.053828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.820350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Under41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.122334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over59c57.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7243256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under29c56.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0623950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2234…6febbacked Over58c52.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cab…daf3backed Under44c49.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3310256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.335961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under31c49.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35a3…2d69backed Under43c49.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under41c47.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6336852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under58c47.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.297051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under34c47.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.037047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over45c47.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e6b…1afbbacked Under42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under55c45.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1911054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05e…9b8dbacked Under42c45.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1815547.1%73 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under33c43.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2992049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over58c42.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.839755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2778443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over55c40.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0716546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over62c40.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2312357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Over60c38.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over74c36.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.548469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7516443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked Under42c34.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.482176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Over58c33.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Over59c33.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6f…5271backed Over59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c32.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over62c31.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1229533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Over60c31.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.755855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.