TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e6b…1afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$75.7
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+309.6%+$44.38
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$33.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.