NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6afb0eee7b0df42001240eaba858778ce4e3ee8e62b18747030afc800c5f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 11,963$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,143.89 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 57c | 6,810$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.15 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 42c | 4,984$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.17 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 40c | 3,104$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.68 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 57c | 2,778$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.5 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 58c | 2,415$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.22 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 57c | 1,870$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.06 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 57c | 1,676$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 1,471$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 58c | 1,333$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 57c | 1,231$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.34 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 1,129$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 966.8$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 915.32$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 871.34$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Under | 59c | 554.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Under | 58c | 510.44$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 44c | 503.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 57c | 397.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 43c | 342.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 58c | 336.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 42c | 334.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 42c | 313.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 42c | 299.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 295.43$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Under | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 249.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 36c | 209.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 43c | 205.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 57c | 179.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…4a53backed Under | 57c | 169.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 54c | 159.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…3958backed Under | 62c | 157.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under | 58c | 155.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Under | 58c | 127.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 31c | 127.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 57c | 127.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 39c | 114.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 43c | 102.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 43c | 102.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…c532backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 63c | 93.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…e9babacked Over | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 43c | 83.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…8a00backed Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Under | 68c | 78.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 57c | 75.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 43c | 73.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…f9a8backed Over | 43c | 68.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…b9e9backed Under | 58c | 68.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 49c | 57.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 56.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 53.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 43c | 52.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 49.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…1afbbacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…7f45backed Over | 40c | 40.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 58c | 39.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa671…f693backed Under | 58c | 36.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 36.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Over | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 43c | 32.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 43c | 32.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…bdd8backed Under | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 43c | 28.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Under | 59c | 27.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…51babacked Under | 57c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…b157backed Over | 43c | 24.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…188ebacked Over | 43c | 24.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…8b89backed Under | 57c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…2454backed Over | 43c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…8a22backed Over | 43c | 24.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…32fbbacked Over | 43c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…f3efbacked Under | 57c | 24.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…2ecebacked Over | 43c | 24.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…1e25backed Under | 57c | 23.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…1a91backed Over | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…edbdbacked Under | 57c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a1…862ebacked Under | 57c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…3200backed Under | 57c | 23.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…72a4backed Under | 57c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. LightningLightning won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.