NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6967c7c0d2ab3f70d8ed0e5f312b1a3da1b3ec6a804ccc3036eee2157ed74a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Canadiens, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens | 38c | 81,838$31,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,098.44 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Canadiens | 37c | 79,368$29,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,366.22 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 60c | 49,546$29,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,966.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Lightning | 63c | 48,890$30,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,089.3 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 62c | 45,111$27,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,142.18 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lightning | 62c | 29,143$18,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,074.44 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Canadiens | 40c | 26,098$10,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,553.52 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Canadiens | 39c | 21,378$8,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,337.39 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…8a00backed Canadiens | 1c | 19,262$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 41c | 18,754$7,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,717.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 63c | 17,989$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,674.22 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Lightning | 61c | 13,947$8,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,413.62 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 62c | 13,610$8,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.76 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 11,999$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Lightning | 60c | 11,512$6,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 60c | 9,930$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.48 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lightning | 61c | 9,065$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.59 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 61c | 9,065$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.59 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 52c | 8,569$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.23 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 62c | 8,286$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.72 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens | 40c | 7,951$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.39 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 41c | 7,513$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.72 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 63c | 6,897$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.03 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Canadiens | 42c | 6,756$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.69 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lightning | 62c | 6,497$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.75 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 38c | 6,081$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.8 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lightning | 53c | 5,984$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 62c | 5,786$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.37 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lightning | 61c | 5,705$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.11 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 59c | 5,191$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.7 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,102$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Canadiens | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.97 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Lightning | 63c | 4,656$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.79 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Canadiens | 38c | 4,561$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Canadiens | 30c | 3,858$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.24 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lightning | 63c | 3,570$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.81 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lightning | 54c | 3,558$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.08 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 49c | 3,467$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.24 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,304$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.91 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Canadiens | 41c | 3,300$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.93 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens | 68c | 3,262$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.38 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Lightning | 62c | 3,202$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.23 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Lightning | 76c | 3,200$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,139$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.84 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Canadiens | 40c | 2,938$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.92 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 39c | 2,753$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.78 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,676$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Lightning | 63c | 2,561$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.8 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Canadiens | 72c | 2,451$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.08 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b61…14ccbacked Canadiens | 49c | 2,325$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canadiens | 37c | 2,317$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.11 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Canadiens | 35c | 2,229$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.42 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 60c | 2,220$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.82 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Lightning | 62c | 2,141$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.56 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…7645backed Canadiens | 66c | 2,056$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,022$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.31 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 42c | 2,006$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.66 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.06 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lightning | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.95 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,992$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.04 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Lightning | 35c | 1,973$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.42 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…c246backed Lightning | 63c | 1,956$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…008abacked Lightning | 63c | 1,898$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lightning | 58c | 1,881$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.46 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Lightning | 62c | 1,809$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.56 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 38c | 1,758$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.78 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,687$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.22 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 62c | 1,555$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.88 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lightning | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Lightning | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 56c | 1,546$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.52 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Canadiens | 68c | 1,425$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.07 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,345$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lightning | 62c | 1,317$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.6 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Canadiens | 32c | 1,305$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.92 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lightning | 67c | 1,177$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.16 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Lightning | 64c | 1,096$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,080$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…fb94backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,079$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lightning | 46c | 1,056$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.57 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…1420backed Lightning | 60c | 1,045$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…5209backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Lightning | 58c | 1,007$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.85 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lightning | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lightning | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Canadiens | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Lightning | 62c | 999.93$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Lightning | 63c | 993.32$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.53 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Canadiens | 66c | 957.25$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4b38backed Canadiens | 29c | 924.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Lightning | 49c | 915.53$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…6a83backed Canadiens | 40c | 885.22$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightningthis page
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.