NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ca520a3fb8a4c58fc997ca3b0b8f8bca85c82d975fc6f821553d0f9ca7de45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 3,814$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 22c | 3,789$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.08 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 3,011$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 2,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.18 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 2,314$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.92 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 2,072$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 2,055$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 56c | 1,973$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.04 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 56c | 1,970$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.79 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 43c | 1,956$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.9 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 57c | 1,812$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.85 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 1,720$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 57c | 1,680$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 43c | 1,551$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.01 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 1,362$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 43c | 1,232$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.24 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 1,204$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.22 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 55c | 1,104$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.09 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Over | 56c | 1,022$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b3f1backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 896.48$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 880.63$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.95 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 44c | 851.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.9 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 68c | 720.07$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 38c | 628.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 43c | 496.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.15 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 461.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 47c | 385.31$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 380.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 376.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 30c | 307.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Over | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 54c | 290.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 42c | 281.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 75c | 263.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Over | 26c | 241.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 43c | 230.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 208$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 43c | 190.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 44c | 131.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 38c | 122.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 121.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 22c | 119.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 47c | 106.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Under | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 47c | 88.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 43c | 87.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 44c | 82.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…2067backed Over | 56c | 79.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 51c | 78.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 74.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 44c | 73.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 51c | 72.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 45c | 71.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 60c | 71.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 69.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 46c | 69.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 26c | 68.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 57c | 65.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 62.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Over | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…d525backed Under | 48c | 52.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 41c | 52.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…5feebacked Under | 44c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 56c | 49.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 64c | 42.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 39.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 40c | 35.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…0ebebacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 55c | 33.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…9c69backed Over | 56c | 31.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 44c | 29.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 44c | 23.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 21.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…3df3backed Under | 73c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 56c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 61c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. LightningLightning won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.