NHL · resolved market
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd12f171fb71cf6549cd7d95eaf05a270f79a433943343c19476ba242bf5aec6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 39c | 8,223$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.37 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 60c | 7,776$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.25 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Lightning | 41c | 6,752$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Canadiens | 69c | 4,790$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.43 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Lightning | 41c | 3,014$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.89 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 59c | 2,971$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.27 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 59c | 2,150$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.53 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Canadiens | 62c | 1,972$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.84 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…90febacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,920$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,839$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.22 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lightning | 31c | 1,787$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.84 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lightning | 41c | 1,383$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.89 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 31c | 1,046$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…b7e9backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,016$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 58c | 737.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Lightning | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Lightning | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens | 59c | 625.47$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.59 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Canadiens | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Canadiens | 59c | 586.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.63 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lightning | 50c | 568.42$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed Canadiens | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lightning | 41c | 455.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Lightning | 41c | 369.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lightning | 42c | 344.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Canadiens | 59c | 297.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lightning | 32c | 294$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Canadiens | 72c | 274.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Lightning | 22c | 256.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Canadiens | 59c | 251.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Lightning | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Canadiens | 59c | 234$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Canadiens | 76c | 230.83$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Lightning | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lightning | 75c | 209.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Lightning | 21c | 203.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lightning | 7c | 203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Canadiens | 60c | 199.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Canadiens | 60c | 195.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Canadiens | 59c | 194.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Lightning | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Canadiens | 59c | 168.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Canadiens | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…9389backed Lightning | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…8a00backed Canadiens | 46c | 105.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Lightning | 41c | 105.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Canadiens | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Canadiens | 66c | 98.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Lightning | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 24c | 94.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Canadiens | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2071…acc6backed Lightning | 40c | 78.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Canadiens | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Lightning | 31c | 72.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Lightning | 18c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…2ccdbacked Canadiens | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lightning | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 70.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Lightning | 50c | 69.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Lightning | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lightning | 25c | 68.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…557fbacked Lightning | 41c | 65.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lightning | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Lightning | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…54a1backed Lightning | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Lightning | 42c | 57.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Lightning | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Canadiens | 77c | 54.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Lightning | 22c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…15d9backed Lightning | 42c | 51.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Canadiens | 58c | 50.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Canadiens | 62c | 49.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Lightning | 31c | 48.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Lightning | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lightning | 40c | 48.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e906backed Canadiens | 60c | 46.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canadiens | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Canadiens | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Canadiens | 64c | 36.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…47a9backed Lightning | 42c | 35.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…26bbbacked Canadiens | 59c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 30c | 34.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…0ebebacked Canadiens | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Canadiens | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Canadiens | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Lightning | 41c | 31.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Canadiens | 60c | 27.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Lightning | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Canadiens | 59c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Lightning | 42c | 24.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Canadiens | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Canadiens | 59c | 22.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Canadiens | 59c | 21.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Canadiens | 60c | 21.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canadiens | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Canadiens | 62c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. LightningLightning won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.