TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3290…9389

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$110.33
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$9.63
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$211.2
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$4.1
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$8.16
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$19.53
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$59.83
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$24.22
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinnbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$8.11
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$16
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$8.28
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs James McCabebacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$14.12
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekhbacked Hyeon Chung · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$38.92
Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$9.19
Savannah: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$19.96
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.4
Rome: Laslo Djere vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$4.01
Madrid Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Savannah: Tyler Zink vs Braden Shickbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Savannah: Nicolas Kicker vs Aidan Mayobacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.94
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.67
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.75
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.67
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.51
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$10.39
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$11.11
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.71
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.