TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs James McCabe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James McCabeof Dane Sweeny, James McCabe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b90…f361backed James McCabe53c14,600$7,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,830.893948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Dane Sweeny37c12,449$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.523522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked James McCabe45c6,669$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked James McCabe45c6,656$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.482,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked James McCabe52c5,340$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.677,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Dane Sweeny54c5,004$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.9568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed Dane Sweeny55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed James McCabe53c4,980$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.5744163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Dane Sweeny67c4,850$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.8341251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Dane Sweeny76c4,531$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.984963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Dane Sweeny76c3,874$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.42,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Dane Sweeny3c3,834$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.231,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked James McCabe50c3,580$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.196,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed James McCabe60c3,489$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.764,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Dane Sweeny44c2,884$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.246336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Dane Sweeny2c2,782$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.82280%0 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Dane Sweeny2c2,750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Dane Sweeny2c2,750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60260%0 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Dane Sweeny57c2,564$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.312146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Dane Sweeny2c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45270%0 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dane Sweeny45c2,362$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.883,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed James McCabe34c2,105$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed James McCabe47c1,976$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.3926545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed James McCabe45c1,970$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.374,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dane Sweeny51c1,863$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.351,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed James McCabe55c1,695$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Dane Sweeny2c1,530$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed James McCabe47c1,420$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.8219835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed James McCabe48c1,415$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.4925342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked James McCabe52c1,240$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.352,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Dane Sweeny1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124124.4%10 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed James McCabe55c1,156$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Dane Sweeny41c1,132$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.3962140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Dane Sweeny42c1,074$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.041030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3947…b1e9backed Dane Sweeny76c1,037$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.483974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Dane Sweeny55c1,033$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.34647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked James McCabe54c1,012$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3135436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Dane Sweeny1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Dane Sweeny1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Dane Sweeny55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Dane Sweeny2c997.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.47450%0 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dane Sweeny50c983.03$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.488,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Dane Sweeny39c855.25$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7810428.8%30 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked James McCabe36c779.43$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.362,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed James McCabe44c713.39$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked James McCabe47c677.74$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.213051.5%67 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Dane Sweeny42c676.51$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9461752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Dane Sweeny45c661.42$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.881,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Dane Sweeny33c608.07$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c89…1c52backed Dane Sweeny68c607.46$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a3…d8e8backed James McCabe57c605.03$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.162250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed James McCabe56c598.66$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7522248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked James McCabe34c562.94$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2273350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Dane Sweeny40c552.85$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9472132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked James McCabe53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.542050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked James McCabe59c548.87$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0441645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked James McCabe55c547.39$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.282,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked James McCabe44c537.66$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.857,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked James McCabe49c535.21$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4915752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Dane Sweeny38c510.58$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.521,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Dane Sweeny42c502.77$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.91,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Dane Sweeny36c500$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.296046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed James McCabe53c488.43$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7115850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Dane Sweeny55c486$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.327530.2%83 W · 192 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked James McCabe46c477.87$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9815966%105 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Dane Sweeny50c462.19$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.974245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked James McCabe67c446.33$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5756754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked James McCabe70c444.32$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3936548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Dane Sweeny68c434.26$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2428265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Dane Sweeny51c420.68$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.51,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed James McCabe45c405.74$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.825433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Dane Sweeny71c395$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.451921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Dane Sweeny50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed James McCabe47c387.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.267263.9%46 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Dane Sweeny48c387.27$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1160355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Dane Sweeny74c384.24$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3417957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Dane Sweeny62c384.17$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed James McCabe50c382.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.21,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Dane Sweeny43c374.75$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.226868.3%183 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Dane Sweeny14c367.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2124632.9%81 W · 165 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Dane Sweeny62c352.77$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7248552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43a…3cafbacked James McCabe67c352.74$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Dane Sweeny37c343.47$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.762,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Dane Sweeny28c341.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.841,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed James McCabe52c330.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.842,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed James McCabe28c319.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.085633.9%19 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed James McCabe46c309.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.581,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dane Sweeny37c300.27$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.894,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked James McCabe74c295.32$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.832885.7%24 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Dane Sweeny53c295.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.461,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked James McCabe31c279.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d30…89ccbacked Dane Sweeny54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8617450%87 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Dane Sweeny30c258.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.62540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Dane Sweeny39c257.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.761,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Dane Sweeny9c253.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7337645.7%172 W · 204 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Dane Sweeny39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Dane Sweeny52c237.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3482560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Dane Sweeny53c235.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed James McCabe54c232.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.936,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Dane Sweeny9c229$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6169438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.