TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c59,305$31,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,832.6818241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants48c24,662$11,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,801.221,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed San Francisco Giants47c24,000$11,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,719.9728350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants46c23,263$10,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,559.3914248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c6,890$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.841,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c6,833$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.811,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c5,501$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.49450%47 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c4,990$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.839350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed San Francisco Giants47c4,249$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.7157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c3,955$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.834546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants46c3,234$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.035,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants50c3,193$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.681,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c2,784$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.665054%27 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants47c2,320$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.241,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants61c2,170$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed San Francisco Giants47c2,099$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.264252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c1,989$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.4916543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c1,756$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.7660350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants47c1,721$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.416,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed San Francisco Giants56c1,577$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.925448.1%26 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c1,538$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.852,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked San Francisco Giants50c1,178$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.311554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c1,070$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0836440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed San Francisco Giants51c999.92$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.963847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c990.27$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.514034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c953.46$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c933.64$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.351,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants60c895.66$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants46c852.31$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.251,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Los Angeles Dodgers26c838.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9948850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed San Francisco Giants47c824$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7230844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed San Francisco Giants48c746.67$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3858360.2%50 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c720.3$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.962152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers33c689.61$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.571,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked San Francisco Giants48c607.46$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.855337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25870744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c598.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4912037.5%45 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Los Angeles Dodgers8c559.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.384136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5425751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed San Francisco Giants53c524.05$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.388053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants47c499.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.981,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants46c424.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.912,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c408.16$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.327248.6%35 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21275049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c364.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.412142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked San Francisco Giants51c337.74$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9812449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked San Francisco Giants51c309.55$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.152138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a9d…0553backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c301.65$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61c…9ad2backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c300.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c290.22$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.620443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c289.88$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8878146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed San Francisco Giants49c285.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.125754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4849…767fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c265.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed San Francisco Giants20c250$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.58630.2%26 W · 60 L+11.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked San Francisco Giants21c246.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2416019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x932d…8c8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c246.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.132744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants52c239$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.882,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.622462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants47c217$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.011,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants52c213.38$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.16,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c210.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7613951.8%72 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked San Francisco Giants48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9565248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9540348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants47c195.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.412,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2412845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c177.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2856946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed San Francisco Giants49c168.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.685650%28 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd787…9eddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c162.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants46c152.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.191,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked San Francisco Giants56c145.53$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants53c143.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.326,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked San Francisco Giants47c136$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed San Francisco Giants45c132.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.019748.5%47 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c126.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.298944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants64c121.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.775,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked San Francisco Giants20c119$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7710215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c117.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.163943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed San Francisco Giants57c114.32$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.053548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c108.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.347159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed San Francisco Giants47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.389444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked San Francisco Giants20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804242.9%18 W · 24 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+60%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.475646.4%26 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5112248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5168942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…6c9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c95.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.534862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c91.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1852…76ccbacked San Francisco Giants48c90.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2310262.7%64 W · 38 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c90.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.971,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked San Francisco Giants78c79.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1455464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed San Francisco Giants47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed San Francisco Giants50c74.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9218353.6%98 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked San Francisco Giants50c74.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9234452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c73.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8711855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants49c72.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.