MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27da2e5c3d31acf590877255bcfdccd630f15706ae82d1dc583ba12047fed186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 12,410$6,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.28 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 4,843$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.34 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.28 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 14c | 3,695$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 3,127$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.02 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,551$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.01 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 47c | 2,534$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,335$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 45c | 2,063$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.3 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 54c | 1,945$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.69 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 1,056$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 605.06$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 498.27$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.55 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 41c | 350.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 342.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 51c | 318.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 243.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 60c | 212.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 210.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 53c | 205.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 199.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…0af7backed Under | 64c | 187.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 51c | 183.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 133.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Under | 49c | 130.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 111.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 53c | 110.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…315abacked Over | 54c | 107.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 49c | 101.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 50c | 101.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 98.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…9591backed Over | 13c | 92.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Over | 54c | 89.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 49c | 80.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 22c | 80.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Over | 35c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 59.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 28c | 48.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 60c | 47.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed Over | 51c | 46.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…8c25backed Over | 53c | 43.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Under | 60c | 42.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 52c | 39.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab62…f8debacked Under | 48c | 38.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 43c | 38.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…9ae1backed Over | 53c | 35.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…36c6backed Under | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 60c | 31.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…3e1cbacked Under | 48c | 29.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8408backed Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 52c | 27.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 50c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 25.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 56c | 23.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 50c | 23.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 60c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.